October 30th, 2014 Tips of the day

Season Record: 6-6 +0.36 Units

Week Record: 1-2 -1.03 Units

We got a couple of good games today to look at here is the first one.

New York Islanders @ Colorado Avalanche 

NY Islanders are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games and 6-1 SU in their last 7 games on the road. NY Islanders are 4-9-1 SU in their last 14 games ,when playing on the road against Colorado. Colorado is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games and 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home. Colorado is 3-8-1 SU in their last 12 games ,when playing NY Islanders. NY Islanders are the second highest scoring team in the league at 3.9 goals per game.

When looking over the trends for this match-up I felt as if the Islanders would be the clear cut play in this spot. However, they will not have Halak in net for them tonight who is 3-0-2 with a 1.55 GAA in his last five against the Avalanche. The Off-Shore bettors are split 50/50 on who will win this game. However, the odds have moved the Avalanche to bigger favorites from 1.83 to 1.74. This movement based on the trends means to me that “sharp”money is on the Avalanche. The Avalanche started 5 of their first 6 games on the road to start the season. Which I believe played into their rough start. However, they will play 4 out of their next 5 at home. Look for them to get things going tonight.

Play: Colorado Avalanche @ 5dimes 1.74

 

Montreal Canadiens @ Vancouver Canucks 

Montreal is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games and 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road. Montreal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Vancouver but 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Vancouver. Vancouver is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games and 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home. Montreal is second last in the league in power play chances at 2.9 per game. Vancouver is third in the league in shots at 32.8 per game.

Montreal has been great to start the season. They’ve also been very undervalued by the betting public going 4-1 SU when they’re underdog. However, Vancouver is 5-1 as a favorite this season. Vancouver has also been very good at home so far to start the season. Ryan Miller will be in net for the Canucks tonight. When Miller have been in Net for the Canucks this season they are 6-1. Carey Price will be in net for the Canadiens tonight. Price owns a .959 save percentage while going 5-0-1 in his last six starts versus the Canucks. 55% of all Off-Shore bettors are siding with the Canadiens. However, I believe sharp money is with the Canucks with the line opening at Canucks 1.77 and moving to 1.74. Either way this will be a great match-up. I’m siding with the home team in what will be a close game.

Play: Vancouver Canucks @ 5dimes 1.74

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