The Kings were able to comeback last night to get us our underdog W. Tonight I’ve found three more underdog’s that I really like and expect to win, so I can’t pass up the return on investment. These are all away dogs with each of them having more success on the road this season. That is one area where bookmakers seem to slack. It seems to me like they just set the lines with the home team as the favourite even if the road team has a great road record throughout the season, while the home team has not been great in their own building.
Buffalo Sabres @ Boston Bruins
Here is a prime example of what I was talking about above. The Sabres are 18-11-5 on the road this season, while the Bruins are just 16-12-4 at home. Each team has been much better on the road than playing in front of their own fans, but the bookie’s still give the advantage to the home team. Combine this with the fact that the Bruins have lost two straight and the Sabres are 2-1 in their last 3 and battling for a playoff spot. I very much like the line on the Sabres tonight.
My Pick: Buffalo Sabres +150
Ottawa Senators @ Florida Panthers
The Senators have been playing with much more desire and confidence since they made the trade for Craig Anderson (5-3 with Anderson in net). The AHL players lucky enough to get a chance are doing their best to impress the coaching staff and hopefully make the team next year with a chance at a full season. The Panthers are coming off a big win over the Blackhawks, which put a halt to their losing skid, but we shouldn’t read too much into that because the ‘Hawks outplayed them drastically and outshot them 39-14. The Sens are (12-16-4) on the road, which is slightly better than the home record this season, while the Panthers are (13-13-7) at home, which is worse than their home record.
My Pick: Ottawa Senators +125
Minnesota Wild @ Nashville Predators
This game doesn’t fit the example perfectly because the Predators are ok at home (15-7-7), but the Wild are also strong on the road (18-12-3), so it should really be a wash. But lucky for us it isn’t. The Wild are still very big dogs mainly because they are on the road. The Wild have won 2 of their last 3, while the Preds have lost their last 2 and 7 of their last 9. In my opinion the Wild should be the favourites in this game so when I see a line like this I jump on it.
My Pick: Minnesota Wild +140
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Written by: Niko de Jonge
**Comments are welcome!
Tagged with: Boston Bruins • buffalo sabres • Florida Panthers • Minnesota Wild • Nashville Predators • Ottawa Senators