November 14th, 2014 New York Islanders @ Florida Panthers

Season Record:14-11 +3.41 Units

Week Record:1-3 -1.85 Units

Let’s take a look at some betting trends for this match-up. NY Islanders are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games and 9-3 SU in their last 12 games on the road. NY Islanders are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Florida but only 3-10 SU in their last 13 games when playing on the road against Florida. On the other side, Florida is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games. New York is third in the league in shots at 32.6 per game. New York has the third most power play chances in the league at 4.1 per game. New York has the third worst penalty killing in the league at 72.9%. Florida is the second lowest scoring team in the league at 1.8 goals per game. Florida allows the most power plays at 4.2 per game. Florida allows the second most power play goals in the league with 0.9 per game.

Looking over the trends one would think that the Islanders are the play here in this spot. However, 3-10 in the last 13 games at Florida is not a good sign. Looking over the betting percentages was another reason to like Florida in this spot. 82% of all Off-Shore bettors are siding with the Islanders tonight. Yet Florida’s line has went from 2.20 to 2.06. It’s understandable to not like Florida in this spot. However, with sharp money clearly on the Panthers and an overload of bets on the Islanders you have to believe something is fishy about this game. Luongo has been solid in his last four starts for the Panthers. Let’s go with the hot goaltender and the “sharp” money tonight  Best of Luck!!!


Play:Florida Panthers @ 5dimes 2.06

Tagged with:

Leave a Comment