November 7th, 2014 Edmonton Oilers @ Buffalo Sabres

Season Record:12-7 +5.17 Units
Week Record:3-0 +3.80 Units

Let’s look at some betting trends for this match-up. Edmonton is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games and 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road. Edmonton is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Buffalo. However, Buffalo is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games and 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home. Edmonton has the worst defense in the league allowing 3.7 goals per game. Edmonton gives up the second fewest power plays in the league at 2.8 per game. Buffalo is the worst offensive team in the league averaging just 1.2 goals per game. Buffalo has the worst shots on goal in the league with just 21.7 per game. Buffalo has the worst shots against in the league at 36.3 per game.

What a game this will be right!? Hey, when you’re betting on a game every game you play is a big game and this one is no exception. Look, how can you determine who will win this game? Looking at the last two games Edmonton has not looked good at all giving up a combined nine goals. Buffalo on the other hand have played pretty tough beating Detroit and losing by a goal to Montreal. If that doesn’t help determine who to pick this will. Opening number for this game at 2.23 and now the number sits at 2.03. Has the value been sucked out of it already?  Could be but at the end of the day as long as we pick a winner that is all that matters. 60% of all Off-Shore bettors are siding with the Oilers tonight and yet the line has moved the other way. So with “sharp” money looking to be on the Sabres and the fact that Sabres have looked better their last two games I’m rolling with them. Best of Luck!!!

Play: Buffalo Sabres @ 5dimes 2.03

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